Many Traders might be using the super trend with different time frames, starting from 3 minute to 1 hour in Intraday. Some days they make profits and some days they make loss. Have you ever wondered what is the best or ideal time frame to trade super trend.
Super Trend trading system, it is one of the simplest and easy to use indicator. Users just have to select the instrument they want to trade and select the time frame, the indicator shows buy and sell signals accordingly.
It has two parameters, period & multipler. The most widely used parameters are 10,3 , when its buy, it shows up green arrow and as long as market keeps trending up, it trials the profits and locks it. So even market reverses and turns into sell signal, we would not lose all our profits.
If you are using higher time frames, you realize that at times when market reverses, you lose more as we have to wait for that one full candle to complete. That’s why many traders prefer trading super trend in smaller time frame, so that they get out quickly when Super trend changes from buy to sell or vice versa.
But have you tested Super Trend with historical data? we simply consider only brokerage as our charges, mostly we deduct Rs.40 as brokerage and think that if we make above Rs.40, we are going to make profits. But there are lot many charges we need to consider,
- Transaction charges
- Sebi fee
- Stamp duty
totally 6 different charges we end up paying for every trade we make.
I tested the super trend intraday trading system on Bank Nifty from 2009 to 2019 with various time frame 3 mins, 5 mins, 10 mins, 15 mins, 30 mins and 1 hour.
Once in a while, you can make very huge returns in lower time frame like 3 mins, on days like Nirmala Sitharaman announcement 20th Sep 2019, Bank Nifty rallied 2500+ points in Intraday, from that super trend on 3 mins time frame was able to capture 2136 points in just one trade.
Do you think, you could keep getting such trades? You make big when you are right, but lose little when you are wrong, so based on risk reward basis, do you think its a very good trading system and you can make profits in the longer run?
This is how the results are, considered fixed quantity of 20, with capital 75000, to trade 1 lot of bank nifty futures currently 75k is more than enough. As you can see, super trend when applied on 3 mins time frame, it generated 351% before charges, but after we applied the above various transaction cost, we realized it doesn’t generate any profits at all, it broke. If one continued trading it on lower time frame, he/she would have blown off the trading account multiple times.
In this chart, it is clearly visible that the lower the time frame higher the charges, trading on 3mins time frame, you end up spending 10+ lacs on transaction charges alone.
We should neither trade on very low time frames or on very high time frames, 15 mins time frame seems to be the ideal. I calculated the ratio of actual returns/returns before charges, only 15 mins time frame is able to generate better ratio after all charges.
As the time frame goes lower, the charges gets reduced because no of trades are also reduced as we increase the time frame. Trading Super trend on the lower time isn’t profitable which is proved above statistically., if you are doing so, please avoid it. Trade with the optimal time frame to get the best result of the indicators that you trade on.